State of Our Climate
Atmospheric Greenhouse Gas Concentrations
CO2 equivalent
Atmospheric GHG concentrations all together are expressed as CO2 equivalent.
It tells us we are 'committed' (locked in) to a higher warming than at present.
Radiative (hear) forcing can be derived from CO2 eq.
800,000-year
ice core limits
CO2: 300 ppm
methane: 800 ppb
nitrous oxide: 300 ppb
May 2024
CO2: 423.9 ppm
methane: 1,925 ppb
nitrous oxide: 337.5 ppb
(NOAA)
Pre-industrial
CO2: 278 ppm
methane: 722 ppb
nitrous oxide: 270 ppb
CO2 equivalant (all GHGs)
All three main atmospheric GHGs are record high, increasing at record rates (2024)
Past 800,000 yrs
110,000 yrs
Past 2,000 yrs
From 1800
(seasonally adjusted mean)
52% increase
For Scripps CO2: Dailly and up to 800,000 years ago to today
The (accelerating) concentration of all atmospheric greenhouse gases combined (CO2 equivalent) constitute a full long term equilibrium warming of over 2.4°C
(radiative forcig
There will be additional warming from the many large planetary feedback sources (like wetlands and permafrost)- not included in IPCC projections.
There will be additional warming due to reduced efficiency of the land (forest) and ocean carbon sinks that have had the effect of buffering the warming by about 50%.
Another source of extra warming results from fossil fuel emission air pollution aerosol cooling, a hidden source of warming unmasked with air pollution measures and termination of fossil fuel energy. Recent air quality measures have reduced the aerosols.
Atmospheric Greenhouse concentrations
5 May 2024, NOAA
CO2
methane
nitrous
oxide